the Outsider - PSE Points to Ponder

  Fresh equity gives the Lopez-led broadcaster room to negotiate. For BPI and UnionBank, the question is whether patience preserves value—or lets operating creditors move ahead in the economic queue. **MANILA—**In Philippine street slang, “Judith” is the visitor nobody wants to see: the due date. For ABS-CBN Corp., Judith is approaching twice. A Bank of the Philippine Islands facility has been extended to August 31, 2026 , while a Union Bank of the Philippines facility has been extended to September 30, 2026 , according to the broadcaster’s latest quarterly filing. Together, the two facilities were originally described as roughly ₱9.75 billion, although the ABS-CBN parent company carried a lower accounting balance of about ₱8.40 billion as of June 30 after previous payments and adjustments. This time, however, ABS-CBN isn’t greeting Judith empty-handed. The company has announced a plan to raise ₱6 billion in new equity . I&C Holdings Corp. is expected to provide ₱3.5 billi...

  Fresh equity can repair the broadcaster’s balance sheet, but creditor banks tied to the Ayala and Aboitiz groups will determine whether the money finances a recovery—or merely repays old obligations. **MANILA—**ABS-CBN Corp.’s proposed ₱6 billion capital infusion gives the debt-laden media company something it has lacked since losing its broadcast franchise in 2020: time. Whether it produces a turnaround is another question. The broadcaster said I&C Holdings Corp. would invest ₱3.5 billion, while three Lopez family investment vehicles—Crème Investment Corp., Mantes Corp. and Presta Holdings Co.—would contribute a combined ₱2.2 billion. Lopez Inc. would invest another ₱300 million. ABS-CBN’s board approved the transaction on August 13, a day after the subscription agreements were signed. The company said the proceeds would be used for general corporate purposes.  The transaction would inject permanent capital without adding interest expense. I&C, established by invest...

  ABS-CBN and DITO once stood on opposite sides of the Philippine corporate fate. Now, both are being kept aloft by creditors, suppliers, and hope. There is a certain symmetry in corporate misfortune. In 2020, ABS-CBN, the Lopez family’s media empire, lost the congressional franchise that had long underpinned its free-to-air broadcasting business after a House committee voted 70-11 to deny its bid for renewal. Around the same era, DITO Telecommunity, backed by Dennis Uy’s Udenna group and China Telecom, was being cast as the disruptive third telco that would break the Globe-PLDT duopoly and bring competition to the Philippine connectivity market.  Six years later, the tables have not so much turned as collapsed inward. ABS-CBN is no longer the mighty broadcaster whose franchise became a national political drama. DITO is no longer merely the insurgent challenger promising cheaper data and faster speeds. Both have become variations of the same Philippine corporate specimen:...

  ABS-CBN Corp.’s long-running turnaround effort suffered another blow in the first quarter of 2026, as weaker advertising, a shrinking cable business, and compressed gross margins pushed the former broadcasting giant into negative equity. The Lopez-led media company reported a ₱813 million net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2026, wider than the ₱500 million loss a year earlier, as consolidated revenue fell 21% to ₱3.33 billion . Gross profit dropped to ₱527 million from ₱1.02 billion , driving the gross profit ratio down to about 15.8% from roughly 24.0% in Q1 2025. The weak quarter erased what remained of ABS-CBN’s equity cushion. Total equity swung to a ₱66 million deficit from ₱747 million positive equity at end-2025, while the company’s accumulated deficit widened to ₱6.65 billion from ₱5.97 billion . The results underscore how difficult it has been for the Lopezes to rebuild ABS-CBN’s earnings base after the loss of its broadcast franchise. Management has s...

The Lopez family’s listed holding company has, over little more than a decade, transformed ABS-CBN from a fully consolidated operating subsidiary into an associate carried at zero on a consolidated equity-accounting basis — a shift that says as much about accounting architecture as it does about the fall of one of the Philippines’ best-known media groups.   There was a time when ABS-CBN sat squarely inside Lopez Holdings’ numbers. In its 2025 annual report, Lopez Holdings explicitly recalls that ABS-CBN had been treated as a subsidiary in 2012 and prior years , meaning its revenues, costs, debt, and losses flowed line by line through the parent’s consolidated accounts. That changed after the adoption of PFRS 10 , when Lopez Holdings said it reassessed control and concluded that it did not control ABS-CBN but did control First Philippine Holdings. From   January 1, 2013 , the group deconsolidated ABS-CBN and began accounting for it under the equity method .  That accounti...

The most revealing number in Philippine media is not ratings, subscriber counts, or YouTube views. It is the share of each peso of revenue that survives the direct cost of making and delivering content. By that measure, the country’s two most storied television brands now inhabit very different worlds. In 2025,  GMA7 posted a gross profit margin of 50.97% , down only slightly from 52.37% in 2024. ABS-CBN managed 16.52% , a touch above 16.18% a year earlier. In plain terms, GMA kept a little over 50 centavos of gross profit from every peso of revenue, while ABS kept only about 16.5 centavos .  That gulf is not a quirk of accounting. It is a map of two business models. GMA remains the Philippines’ dominant free-to-air broadcaster, still benefiting from the old but lucrative economics of mass television: national reach, ratings leadership, and an advertising machine that continues to throw off high-margin revenue. Its 2025 consolidated revenue rose to about ₱18.12bn , while gr...

  In corporate finance, there is a simple rule: when a firm’s overheads exceed its gross profit, survival depends not on operations but on patience. By 2025, ABS‑CBN had crossed that line. The company reported a gross profit margin of 16.52% , producing gross profit of roughly ₱2.6 billion on consolidated revenues of ₱15.85 billion , even as revenues declined 9% year‑on‑year . Against this, administrative, corporate, and support costs remained structurally larger—helping drive a net loss of ₱4.72 billion and a net income margin of –29.76% for the year . In a normal business, that arithmetic ends the discussion. Yet ABS‑CBN continues to operate, raising a different question: for how long will its financiers—among them institutions associated with the Aboitizes and the Ayalas—continue to forbear? A Cost Base Built for a Bigger Company ABS‑CBN’s overhead problem is not subtle. The firm remains profitable at the gross level, but general and administrative expenses, together with per...

The feud now spilling across LPZ, ABS, ROCK and FGEN is not merely a family quarrel; it is a corporate-governance issue at the top of listed companies. The Lopez family’s dispute has ceased to look like a private quarrel and begun to resemble a public-markets problem. ABS-CBN itself has said that this is “a family dispute and should remain so” and that it should not be fought in public. Yet it is being fought in public — through statements, counter-statements and litigation that now spill across companies connected to the group.  That matters because these are not merely family assets. Lopez Holdings, First Philippine Holdings, First Gen, Rockwell Land and ABS-CBN are all publicly listed companies , each with minority shareholders who did not sign up to become spectators in a dynastic power struggle. Public reporting shows that the conflict is no longer confined to the private holding company. It has extended into ABS-CBN, where the company confirmed that one director proposed a sh...