Skip to main content

SMFB Seen as Better Bet Despite GSMI’s Strong Showing


Ginebra San Miguel Inc. (GSMI) delivered another stellar performance for the first nine months of 2025, posting ₱48.66 billion in sales, up 7% year-on-year, and ₱6.35 billion in net income, a 17% increase from last year. Earnings per share surged to ₱22.17, and the company declared a total of ₱16.00 per share in dividends for the year, reinforcing its reputation as a high-yield play in the spirits segment.

Yet, analysts point to San Miguel Food & Beverage, Inc. (SMFB) as the more compelling investment choice. Here’s why:

Higher Dividend Yield

While GSMI boasts a generous payout, its dividend yield stands at ~5.7% based on current prices. SMFB, on the other hand, offers ~6.6–6.7%, thanks to steady quarterly dividends and occasional specials. For income-focused investors, SMFB’s yield advantage is hard to ignore.

Diversified Earnings Base

GSMI is a single-segment player, heavily reliant on gin and other spirits. SMFB consolidates beer, spirits, and food businesses, providing multiple growth levers and reducing exposure to market volatility in any one category.

GSMI’s Success Flows Up to SMFB

SMFB owns 75.78% of GSMI, meaning the bulk of GSMI’s strong earnings and hefty dividends ultimately accrue to SMFB. Investors in SMFB gain indirect exposure to GSMI’s growth plus the performance of other profitable units like San Miguel Brewery and San Miguel Foods.

Scale and Stability

SMFB’s larger revenue base and diversified operations offer resilience against cyclical swings. Its lower share price (~₱52.50 vs. GSMI’s ~₱279) also makes it more accessible and liquid for retail investors.


Bottom Line

GSMI remains a solid performer with robust profitability and consistent payouts. However, for investors seeking higher yield, diversification, and long-term stability, SMFB stands out as the better bet.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Globe Telecom’s Dividend Promise: A Risky Bet in a Shifting Landscape

By any measure, Globe Telecom has been a darling of dividend investors. A steady stream of quarterly payouts—₱25 per share, totaling ₱75 so far this year—has reinforced its reputation as a shareholder-friendly blue chip. But beneath the surface of these generous distributions lies a troubling question: Can Globe really afford to keep this up? The numbers tell a sobering story. Core service revenues fell 2% year-on-year to ₱121.7 billion in the first nine months of 2025. Mobile —the company’s bread and butter —is losing steam as voice and SMS revenues collapse under the weight of digital substitution. Home broadband is flat, and corporate data is shrinking. Yes, mobile data and fiber are growing—but not fast enough to offset the erosion elsewhere. This is not the profile of a company with expanding cash flows. Meanwhile, costs are creeping upward. Operating expenses remain stubbornly high at ₱57.5 billion, and depreciation surged 7% to ₱40 billion as Globe races to keep its network com...

Pryce Corp Must Rein In Market Bets and Put Shareholders First

Pryce Corporation’s latest quarterly filing paints a tale of two realities. On one hand, the company boasts a ₱2.99 billion nine-month net income , up 35% year-on-year , and improved profitability metrics. On the other hand, its core LPG business—the backbone of its operations—has begun to wobble, while its growing reliance on stock market gains introduces a risk profile that shareholders should not ignore. The Cracks in the Core LPG accounts for 86% of Pryce’s revenue , yet sales growth is losing steam. For the first nine months of 2025, LPG revenue rose modestly by 3.8%, but in the third quarter it fell 5.8% year on year . This is not a blip; it’s a warning. With international contract prices down 4.19% , margins may hold for now, but volume softness in Luzon and NCR signals competitive and demand pressures that could persist. Industrial gases delivered a stellar 32% growth , and real estate and pharma chipped in, but these segments are too small to offset a prolonged LPG slow...