Skip to main content

SMPH at 29 a piece is a golden opportunity to buy low a money printing machine

Just January of this year (2020) SMPH hit a high of 43.35, now it is at 29. It is down some 33%. It shed almost a third of its high.

The COVID-19 pandemic exposes the qualities of every company listed in the stock exchange. The pandemic highlighted SMPH as a money printing machine. With the economy mostly shuttered, SMPH was still able to generate 10.4 Billion Pesos of net income and 9.4 Billion Pesos of cash flows from operations.

Although, it is facing a 43.8 Billion Pesos of current debts payable within the next 12 months. There is no doubt that SMPH will be able to refinance the same given its still strong cash flow generation despite all the pandemic restrictions.

To illustrate its financial strength, SMPH can generate revenue and cash flows of at least 60 Billion Pesos in the succeeding periods without even spending a single peso for capital expenditures to conserve cash. At the end of June 2020 it has available inventory units of 12,000 units that could easily translate to at least 60 Billion Pesos of sales and cash flows and it doesn’t have to spend a single peso of capex for it since it has already been built.

SMPH is what they call “money begets money.” SMPH’s malls generate a lot of money. For the mature malls (mall that exists for over a decade) the money it creates is almost free. The costs for those mall have been recovered or have nearly been recovered yet they are still generating money. The malls that SMPH had established in its early years are still spewing money up to now and well into the future they will still spew money.

SMPH at 29 or lower, is definitely a golden opportunity to buy a money machine for less.

There is no doubt mankind will triumph over SARS-CoV-2 and we will go back to our normal lives. By then, SMPH will have returned to its normal valuation.

Disclaimer: This is an independent analysis with the objective of informing readers about a company’s fundamentals. Accuretti Systems Inc. does not own any shares of SM Prime Holdings.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Globe Telecom’s Dividend Promise: A Risky Bet in a Shifting Landscape

By any measure, Globe Telecom has been a darling of dividend investors. A steady stream of quarterly payouts—₱25 per share, totaling ₱75 so far this year—has reinforced its reputation as a shareholder-friendly blue chip. But beneath the surface of these generous distributions lies a troubling question: Can Globe really afford to keep this up? The numbers tell a sobering story. Core service revenues fell 2% year-on-year to ₱121.7 billion in the first nine months of 2025. Mobile —the company’s bread and butter —is losing steam as voice and SMS revenues collapse under the weight of digital substitution. Home broadband is flat, and corporate data is shrinking. Yes, mobile data and fiber are growing—but not fast enough to offset the erosion elsewhere. This is not the profile of a company with expanding cash flows. Meanwhile, costs are creeping upward. Operating expenses remain stubbornly high at ₱57.5 billion, and depreciation surged 7% to ₱40 billion as Globe races to keep its network com...

SMFB Seen as Better Bet Despite GSMI’s Strong Showing

Ginebra San Miguel Inc. (GSMI) delivered another stellar performance for the first nine months of 2025, posting ₱48.66 billion in sales , up 7% year-on-year, and ₱6.35 billion in net income , a 17% increase from last year. Earnings per share surged to ₱22.17 , and the company declared a total of ₱16.00 per share in dividends for the year, reinforcing its reputation as a high-yield play in the spirits segment. Yet, analysts point to San Miguel Food & Beverage, Inc. (SMFB) as the more compelling investment choice. Here’s why: Higher Dividend Yield While GSMI boasts a generous payout, its dividend yield stands at ~5.7% based on current prices. SMFB, on the other hand, offers ~6.6–6.7% , thanks to steady quarterly dividends and occasional specials. For income-focused investors, SMFB’s yield advantage is hard to ignore. Diversified Earnings Base GSMI is a single-segment player, heavily reliant on gin and other spirits. SMFB consolidates beer, spirits, and food businesses , provi...

Pryce Corp Must Rein In Market Bets and Put Shareholders First

Pryce Corporation’s latest quarterly filing paints a tale of two realities. On one hand, the company boasts a ₱2.99 billion nine-month net income , up 35% year-on-year , and improved profitability metrics. On the other hand, its core LPG business—the backbone of its operations—has begun to wobble, while its growing reliance on stock market gains introduces a risk profile that shareholders should not ignore. The Cracks in the Core LPG accounts for 86% of Pryce’s revenue , yet sales growth is losing steam. For the first nine months of 2025, LPG revenue rose modestly by 3.8%, but in the third quarter it fell 5.8% year on year . This is not a blip; it’s a warning. With international contract prices down 4.19% , margins may hold for now, but volume softness in Luzon and NCR signals competitive and demand pressures that could persist. Industrial gases delivered a stellar 32% growth , and real estate and pharma chipped in, but these segments are too small to offset a prolonged LPG slow...